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A prospective observational study of prevalence and outcomes of patients with Gold Standard Framework criteria in a tertiary regional Australian Hospital
  1. Sharyn Milnes1,2,
  2. Neil R Orford1,2,3,
  3. Laura Berkeley1,
  4. Nigel Lambert1,4,
  5. Nicholas Simpson1,
  6. Tania Elderkin1,
  7. Charlie Corke1,2 and
  8. Michael Bailey3
  1. 1Intensive Care Unit, University Hospital Geelong, Barwon Health, Geelong, Victoria, Australia
  2. 2Department of Medicine, Deakin University School of Medicine, Barwon Health, Geelong, Victoria, Australia
  3. 3Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine (DEPM), Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Research Centre (ANZIC-RC), Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
  4. 4Southern GP Training (SGPT), Drysdale Clinic, Geelong, Victoria, Australia
  1. Correspondence to Sharyn Milnes, Intensive Care Unit, University Hospital Geelong, Barwon Health, Geelong, VIC 3220, Australia; sharyn.milnes{at}deakin.edu.au

Abstract

Objectives Report the use of an objective tool, UK Gold Standards Framework (GSF) criteria, to describe the prevalence, recognition and outcomes of patients with palliative care needs in an Australian acute health setting. The rationale for this is to enable hospital doctors to identify patients who should have a patient-centred discussion about goals of care in hospital.

Design Prospective, observational, cohort study.

Participants Adult in-patients during two separate 24 h periods.

Main outcome measures Prevalence of in-patients with GSF criteria, documentation of treatment limitations, hospital and 1 year survival, admission and discharge destination and multivariate regression analysis of factors associated with the presence of hospital treatment limitations and 1 year survival.

Results Of 626 in-patients reviewed, 171 (27.3%) had at least one GSF criterion, with documentation of a treatment limitation discussion in 60 (30.5%) of those patients who had GSF criteria. Hospital mortality was 9.9%, 1 year mortality 50.3% and 3-year mortality 70.2% in patients with GSF criteria. One-year mortality was highest in patients with GSF cancer (73%), renal failure (67%) and heart failure (60%) criteria. Multivariate analysis revealed age, hospital length of stay and presence of the GSF chronic obstructive pulmonary disease criteria were independently associated with the likelihood of an in-hospital treatment limitation. Non-survivors at 3 years were more likely to have a GSF cancer (25% vs 6%, p=0.004), neurological (10% vs 3%, p=0.04), or frailty (45% vs 3%, p=0.04) criteria. After multivariate logistic regression GSF cancer criteria, renal failure criteria and the presence of two or more GSF clinical criteria were independently associated with increased risk of death at 3 years. Patients returning home to live reduced from 69% (preadmission) to 27% after discharge.

Conclusions The use of an objective clinical tool identifies a high prevalence of patients with palliative care needs in the acute tertiary Australian hospital setting, with a high 1 year mortality and poor return to independence in this population. The low rate of documentation of discussions about treatment limitations in this population suggests palliative care needs are not recognised and discussed in the majority of patients.

Trial registration number 11/121.

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  • Received 8 February 2015.
  • Revision received 7 July 2015.
  • Accepted 6 September 2015.
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